LUCIDITY OF MATH MAY YET PROVE SELF-EVIDENT
The DailyKos put up this sign, today, setting the stage for people to realize that the shaft that brought Hillary to the likes of O'Reilly is going to close up, faster than she can run. I still prefer the hurdles-rates / break-even approach, because if you translate this table using projections it just confirms that neither candidate will "win" based on pledge delegates alone.
| The Magic Number (2,024 delegates needed) | ||
| Barack Obama | 1,733 | 291 |
| Hillary Clinton | 1,603 | 421 |
THE CLINTONIAN IMAGINARY PLANE
Sadly, Bill Clinton continues to campaign against the Democratic Party nominee in small town America, possibly doing irreparable harm. It cannot be good for the party to set up false expectations: "If she carries the Mountains of North Carolina then she will carry the state of North Carolina. If she carries North Carolina, she will get the nomination."
Of course, she will not. If Hillary were to carry NC by 1% say and get all of its remaining supers, she still would still need to carry 44% of the remaining elected delegates (a split of 72%-28%, a margin so large neither candidate has achieved it). Rather than a spread of 35% of remaining superdelegates, she would need 20%, a 60-40 split that, again , would also be beyond her reach.
THE DAY IN SUPERS
One each. As noted before, this puts Clinton further behind, not even, because Obama has the lead.
Tonight : GUAM - results ought to be available at first light on Saturday ...
