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Saturday, May 31, 2008

Florida - Now 7/8th Baked

Nothing is fully baked until the convention, but it appears Florida is on track with 1/2 votes for all delegates.

This gives Hillary 12.5 net pledged delegate-votes (assuming Edwards delegates all vote for Obama). She picks up about 7.5 delegate-votes from supers who have expressed a preference. The pool of available supers expands by a mere 15 delegates, or less than 10% of the approximately 189 remaining...

To give a sense for just how meaningless the "fight" is, Clinton's projected must-do percentage among remaining delegates drops from something near 98% to something near 91% ...