IT'S MORE THAN A "MILESTONE" - IT'S A MILLSTONE
After last night, the supers now must only decide whether they are going to overturn the results of the election.
This is true, regardless of whether Florida and Michigan are included.
HILLARY'S SHUTOUT NOT DEPENDANT ON FL, MI
Obama finishes the night with a lead of about 168 pledged delegates. There are only 86 delegates in the three states remaining. If Hillary won them all, she would still need 82 pledged delegates from Florida and Michigan.
There is no way she gets that many pledged delegates, even at an outrageous 100% seating. At most, we're looking at 48, given where the "Michigan proposal" now stands and less when you take out 13 likely to go to Obama from Edwards' Florida tally.
Here are the FL and MI delegations, as composed before the rules committee votes:
1. MI, FL delegations: No way for Hillary to pick up 82 pledged delegates. The Supers have now only to consider whether they will overturn the elected delegate count.
| Michigan | Total | "Not Clinton" | Clinton | Lead/ (Trail) | Edwards | Margin Obama | Margin Clinton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged, Elected | 83 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 43% | 57% | |
| Pledged, PLEOs | 17 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 41% | 59% | |
| Pledged, At Large | 28 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 43% | 57% | |
| Subtotal | 128 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 43% | 57% | |
| Proposal: | 128 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 46% | 54% |
| Florida | Total | Obama | Clinton | Lead/ (Trail) | Edwards | Margin Obama | Margin Clinton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged, Elected | 121 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 13 | 34% | 55% |
| Pledged, PLEOs | 24 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 42% | 58% | |
| Pledged, At Large | 40 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 40% | 60% | |
| Subtotal | 185 | 67 | 105 | -38 | 13 | 43% | 57% |
