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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Kentucky - Early Returns

The KY website is most excellent!

Early indications are voter turnout is much larger than I projected (20pts higher!). However, margins are also much tighter, so far.

CNN is projecting a 30% margin. That would mean an aggregate vote increase of near 225K, far higher than my 147K projection. It will not affect the delegate count estimated, however, except for a mere 2 delegates.

[Lou Dobbs must have left math off his menu ... AND he gets pundits to agree with him.]