The weekly odds recap at sister blog.
Here is a peek at how those with money to speculate are guessing on the odds for the swing states (some of these numbers don't have much behind them, in terms of contract volume, so they are quite "soft").
| State | DEM | REP | Chng Wk. Dem/Rep | Bid-Ask. Dem/Rep | Elec. Vote |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| •Oregon‡ | 75 | 20 | 0/0 | 7%/50% | 7 |
| Pennsylvania* | 75 | 15.1 | 0/0.1 | 13%/59% | 21 |
| •Michigan‡ | 75 | 15 | 0/0 | 13%/67% | 17 |
| •Wisconsin‡ | 70 | 20 | 0/0 | 14%/50% | 10 |
| Minnesota* | 70 | 20 | 0/0 | 14%/40% | 10 |
| New Hampshire* | 70 | 20 | 0/0 | 7%/50% | 4 |
| •Ohio‡ | 55 | 35 | 5/-5 | 18%/29% | 20 |
| New Mexico | 50 | 40 | 0/0 | 20%/25% | 5 |
| •Nevada | 45.5 | 45 | 0/0 | 21%/22% | 5 |
| Iowa* | 45 | 45 | 0/0 | 22%/22% | 7 |
| •Missouri* | 45 | 45 | 0/0 | 22%/22% | 11 |
| •Colorado | 41.1 | 51.1 | 0.9/1.1 | 21%/17% | 9 |
| •Virginia*‡ | 40 | 50 | 0/-6 | 25%/18% | 13 |
| Florida* | 40 | 50 | -5/0 | 25%/20% | 27 |
| •Arkansas*‡ | 20 | 71 | 0/0 | 25%/13% | 6 |
