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Saturday, November 24, 2007

Electoral College Update

New Mexico, Ohio, Florida (!), and Iowa all go slightly more bid for Dems in the latest two week period, on intrade's contracts:

StateDEMREPChng Wk. Dem/RepBid-Ask. Dem/RepElec. Vote
Pennsylvania*7715.12/010%/59%21
•Oregon‡75200/07%/50%7
•Michigan‡75150/013%/67%17
Minnesota*75205/07%/40%10
•Wisconsin‡70200/014%/50%10
New Hampshire*70200/07%/50%4
•Ohio‡60305/-517%/33%20
New Mexico603910/-18%/15%5
Iowa*50405/-520%/25%7
Florida*49.5459.5/-55%/22%27
•Nevada45.5450/021%/22%5
•Missouri*45450/022%/22%11
•Colorado41.151.10/021%/17%9
•Virginia*‡41501/022%/18%13
•Arkansas*‡20710/025%/13%6
*No same-sex marriage (statute);•Big hate (Constitutional ignorance); ‡Super big hate (bigoted, mean-spirited exclusion)