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Thursday, June 21, 2007

A Thought

Hamas’ Wanted List has 85 names on it, and understandably, anyone linked to the Fatah security forces is laying low.

Q: Gaza today is what Iraq (or large parts of Iraq) could look like after a pullout, true or false?


How many Israeli lives will it cost to re-occupy Gaza?


In a piece that looks a little too influenced by his Israeli handlers, Seth Gittel eventually gets to the crux of 'global counterinsurgency' (I use that phrase, because we can point to Somalia, Waziristan, and maybe places in Thailand, Indonesia, and Nigeria facing similarly situated breakdowns in the political demarcations of State power):



The issue no relevant party — Israel, the PA, the US, the EU — has ever been able to deal with is what to do with the rejectionist, Islamacist forces that seek to control the Palestinian Authority.


It's a vexing set of problems, no doubt, but it's not without approaches. One is continual pressure, on known 'rejectionist forces'.

Another is understanding how these groups evolve and insinuate themselves, and working to forestall that, at each point along the way.

Last, is recognizing the amount of political will that is required to run a 'global counterinsurgency'. 'Rejectionist' groups have arguably been very organized, usually trading off their singleness of purpose. Counteraction probably requires a similarly organized and concerted effort.