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Sunday, June 21, 2009

After Prayers, Saturday/Sunday in Iran

A NIGHT OF THE LONG KNIVES?

The two sides tested each other's mettle, for the most part.

They will each fight with powerful weapons.

It would end swiftly, only, if there were a concession by Khamenei, which is unlikely, because he may be complicit in the fraud; but possible, if he 'makes a deal'. Based on initial outcomes, it looks unlikely the the fight at the very top is really close enough to force one.

Otherwise, the "opposition" will fight with strikes, mourning marches, and with other "creative" ways to stage civil "disobedience within the law".

The state actors? What choices do they have? They appear to be taking names. They might try to pre-empt by trying to kill the opposition, or its active leadership, in order to consolidate "the law" behind the lies of this election. Disinformation is powerful, but seldom a conclusive force.